In search of old age PRs

May 15, 2024

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Location:

Salt Lake City,UT,USA

Member Since:

Sep 25, 2007

Gender:

Male

Goal Type:

Marathon Finish

Running Accomplishments:

All running accomplishments are Post Teenage Years:

17:06 5K--Murray 2014

16:58 5K (aided)--Running of the Leopards 2010

34:41--10K Deseret News 2018 (aided)

1:16--(aided) Hobble Creek Half 2009

2:43--St. George Marathon 2012

Short-Term Running Goals:

Sub 2:50 Ogden Marathon

Sub 17:00 at Draper 5K

Long-Term Running Goals:

Sub 2:40 Marathon

 

Personal:

Married to Elizabeth (she got me running in 2003). We have three boys, Lucas (12) , Sam (8) and Ollie (5).

Many years ago, I read that the AVERAGE male is capable of a 2:40 marathon.  I decided to test that theory.  I began running in 2003 with Top of Utah as my first marathon (4:24).  I need 3 more minutes.

"Life is short...running makes it seem longer."--Baron Hansen

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Miles:This week: 0.00 Month: 0.00 Year: 0.00
Total Distance
5.00

PM: 5.0 miles.  Spent the day working in Oxnard/Malibu area.  If you ate a strawberry today, it probably came from here...strawberry fields forever.

Read an article on the plane in the Marathon & Beyond publication.  This guy named Dave Fereday has run every London Marathon since the start in 1981.  The cool thing is (besides running the marathon from ages 43 through 73) he shares his race running log in the article.  He's an engineer so he is all about the numbers.  Anyway he calculated a fitness factor based on his weekly average. He would ignore the 2 weeks before a marathon (tapering), but then average his previous 8 weeks.  Next, he would average the next previous 32 weeks.  Then by adding the two numbers together and dividing by 2 he would get his "Fitness Factor."  This factor was pretty spot on in predicting his race time performance.  If you want to check it out the article is labeled "The London Marathon From Inside".  By: Dave Fereday.

So, since it was a boring flight, I calculated my fitness factor based on Fall marathons.  I started running in 2003/2004 and did not keep a log.  My marathon times were 4:24:00 in 2003 and 3:56:00 in 2004 (Top of Utah).  I know my mileage was probably 15-20 miles a week.  Luckily, I received a Garmin as a gift in 2005, thus better records!

2005.  Fitness Factor 22.5.  Las Vegas Marathon 3:24:38

2006.  Fitness Factor 25.  St. George Marathon 3:27:39 (I had my appendix removed 2 weeks prior to the race)

2007.  Fitness Factor 26.5.  St George Marathon 3:02:15 (perfect conditions that happen once very 10 years--i.e. cloud cover, cold at the start, tail wind, etc...)

2008.  Fitness Factor 35.  Tucson Marathon 3:04.12

2009.  Fitness Factor 40.  Pocatello Marathon 2:52:54

2010.  Fitness Factor 43.  St. George Marathon 3:03:25 (super hot/cramping issues).

2011.  Fitness Factor 43.5.  St. George Marathon 2:54:06 (another hot one, but prepared with salt tablets).

So, the goal for 2012 is to get the FF to 50 and hope it leads to a 2:45:00 marathon or I can just wait for another day like 2007.  I think we are due.

Comments
From Tara on Wed, Mar 28, 2012 at 23:01:04 from 75.169.143.129

What if I wanted to eat a strawberry today? Would that make a difference of where it is from? I don't think so. Sorry that was so lame.

Yea for running on a business trip!

From MarkP on Wed, Mar 28, 2012 at 23:08:46 from 69.170.34.178

I probably picked it or saw someone that did. Was it red?

From Tara on Wed, Mar 28, 2012 at 23:14:29 from 75.169.143.129

You mean the one I wanted to eat but never did? Yes, I imagine it was red. Do they come in other colors besides green? What exactly do you do for a living? Run in Strawberry fields all day? I want that job- no wonder you are so fast.

From MarkP on Wed, Mar 28, 2012 at 23:20:08 from 69.170.34.178

Here are some choices:

http://www.flickriver.com/groups/701082@N25/pool/interesting/

However, they probably contain pink slime!

See you at the 1/2!

From Jake K on Thu, Mar 29, 2012 at 08:37:07 from 155.100.226.54

Very cool info - I like crunching the numbers like that as well. Its cool to look back retrospectively and find trends, etc.

Do you have a target marathon in mind for this year?

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